A STATISTICAL CONJECTURE: Some Thoughts about Causality Errors If Student X is an egghead and Student Y is an arsehole what parameters must come together for optimal learning to unfold? It seems safe to assume most instructors are luggards and classrooms are essentially cemeteries How many degrees of freedom are needed to see the inherent absurdity? If we pump out enough data and isolate the variables to a sufficient degree anything can begin to look like anything but isn't that the purpose of statistics: to prop up desired beliefs? Bill: Ah, flimsy conjectures! So much human activity is based upon frail premises. Gus: Yes, we live in a house of cards: a wobbly construction of myths, half-truths, and lies. Nadya: Hasn't it always been so? Liao: (nodding) Perhaps. As our intelligence grows, so does our capacity for illusion. ===================================================================================== from _Cyberpoems: Exploring the Human-Machine Interface_ by T Newfields SUMMARY: Some thoughts about the misuse of statistics in complex systems KEYWORDS: statistical intent, analytical errors, meta-statistics Author: T Newfields [Nitta Hirou / Huáng Yuèwǔ] (b. 1955 - ?) Begun: 2001 in Nagoya, Japan / Finished: 2019 in Yokohama, Japan Creative Commons License: Attribution. {{CC-BY-4.0}} Granted < LAST https://www.tnewfields.info/CyberPoems/quantum.htm TOC https://www.tnewfields.info/CyberPoems/index.html NEXT > https://www.tnewfields.info/CyberPoems/elegie.htm