HAND OF PROPHECY: A Meditation on Randomness IMAGE: A human hand with an image of a 2-dimensional space seeming to appear in a third dimension Tim: Prophecy? Isn't that whole notion superstitious? Satoru: (nonchalantly) Not really. Doesn't it all boil down to statistical probabilities? Some outcomes seem certain, while others are more open to chance. Liao: We should also remember how black swans manifest. Given enough time, even small probabilities can seem almost certain. Tim: (sighing) Perhaps the only certainty seems to be constant change and transience. Melissa: (yawning, then drinking some wine) This discussion is too abstract. My attention is fading – of that I'm certain! ===================================================================================== from _Crassroom Voices - Poetry, Art, & Dialogs about Education_ by T Newfields SUMMARY: The responses of four people to a discussion about future predictions KEYWORDS: prophecy, probability theory, illuminated hand, bounded outcomes, augury Author: T Newfields [Nitta Hirou / Huáng Yuèwǔ] (b. 1955) Begun: 2007 in Tokyo, Japan / Finished: 2023 in Yokohama, Japan Creative Commons License: Attribution. {{CC-BY-4.0}} Granted < LAST https://www.tnewfields.info/CrassroomVoices/glos.htm TOC https://www.tnewfields.info/CrassroomVoices/index.html NEXT > https://www.tnewfields.info/CrassroomVoices/postlog.htm